Political dynamics in various states have shifted following the recognition of the Rainbow Coalition, led by Nyesom Wike, Minister of the Federal Capital Territory (FCT). His inclusion in President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s 2027 Presidential Campaign Council has prompted this change.
Before the launch of the campaign council in Abuja last week, governors from the All Progressives Congress (APC), led by Hope Uzodinma of Imo State, strongly opposed the coalition, asserting their commitment solely to APC candidates.
The coalition, as proposed by Wike, aims to support President Tinubu’s re-election in 2027 while backing candidates from other parties, particularly the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), for other elected positions.
Reports indicate that Wike’s endorsement has energised PDP candidates in several states, posing a challenge to current governors and their nominees. Analysts suggest that Wike’s inclusion in the campaign council signals a solidified coalition, encouraging opposition candidates, particularly within the PDP, to strengthen their local infrastructures with the expectation of receiving support from the federal level.
Wike has asserted that his backing for Tinubu’s election does not compel him to support all APC governors or candidates.
In Adamawa State, the Wike-led faction of the PDP continues its political activities, undeterred by previous internal disputes. Following the Independent National Electoral Commission’s (INEC) announcement of governorship candidates, the party has clarified that Chief Maurice Michael Vonobolki is the legitimate candidate, dismissing claims by Caleb Andrew on social media. The state secretary, Alhaji Shekarau Yerima, has expressed confidence in the PDP’s prospects for the 2027 elections, citing previous successes.
In Kwara State, the coalition has highlighted divisions within the ruling APC regarding Governor AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq’s succession plans. Discontented APC figures, including the Otoge Progressives and former Senate President Bukola Saraki’s associates, are collaborating against the governor’s choice for succession. Visibility for the coalition increased recently when Senator Saliu Mustapha launched its state chapter, intending to challenge AbdulRazaq for the Kwara Central seat.
Wike has blamed AbdulRazaq for the coalition’s growth and cautioned him about potential challenges ahead. The PDP has stated that while it does not oppose Tinubu’s re-election ambitions, its primary goal is unseating AbdulRazaq.
In Edo State, the Rainbow Coalition remains active despite the passing of its leader, Chief Dan Orbih. The coalition continues to support Tinubu’s re-election efforts. PDP’s state secretary, Hilary Otsu, maintains that Wike’s coalition presence will not hinder PDP candidates in the forthcoming elections.
In Rivers State, Wike convened a meeting with APC’s governorship candidate, Kingsley Chinda, and key political figures to advance reconciliation within the Rainbow Coalition.
In Benue State, the coalition’s efforts to garner support for Tinubu’s re-election have unveiled deeper political rifts regarding the governorship succession. Coalition National Secretary Austin Agada declared that they would not support Governor Hyacinth Alia for re-election unless he aligns with coalition interests.
In Nasarawa State, Wike’s influence has led to the PDP rallying behind candidates, with Emmanuel David Ombugadu confirmed as its governorship candidate for 2027. His assertion of support for Wike’s electoral strategy has sparked discussions among party members.
In Ondo State, candidates affiliated with the Rainbow Coalition are challenging the APC’s hold on the region. Figures like Matthew Oyerinmade and Idowu Mafimisebi, who have moved from the APC to the PDP, are now campaigning as part of the coalition, positioning themselves against the APC’s influence.
Political analysts warn that the rise of the Rainbow Coalition candidates could complicate the APC’s electoral strategy, as influential stakeholders may shift their support towards coalition candidates.
By Mumini Abdulkareem, Ilorin; Abubakar Abdullahi, Lafia; Hope Abah, Makurdi; Usman A. Bello, Benin; Bassey Willie, Port Harcourt; Promise Adagba, Akure; Umar Dankano Yola
